Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.031253 0.036560 0.042413 0.049336 0.057290 0.066129 0.076685
2025-07-06 0.023006 0.029810 0.038028 0.048638 0.061926 0.077961 0.098720
2025-07-13 0.018936 0.026804 0.037075 0.051359 0.070581 0.095407 0.129729
2025-07-20 0.015738 0.024108 0.035817 0.053192 0.078080 0.112149 0.161955
2025-07-27 0.012549 0.020692 0.032834 0.051961 0.080951 0.122766 0.187010
2025-08-03 0.010334 0.018229 0.030708 0.051450 0.084519 0.134480 0.214670
2025-08-10 0.008400 0.015802 0.028162 0.049772 0.085886 0.142830 0.237967
2025-08-17 0.006954 0.013899 0.026110 0.048485 0.087534 0.151562 0.262510
2025-08-24 0.005984 0.012650 0.024941 0.048450 0.091129 0.163622 0.293415
2025-08-31 0.005027 0.011234 0.023228 0.047150 0.092272 0.171571 0.318081
2025-09-07 0.004620 0.010838 0.023349 0.049222 0.099647 0.190875 0.363969
2025-09-14 0.004059 0.010007 0.022481 0.049242 0.103152 0.203566 0.399229
2025-09-21 0.003436 0.008935 0.020985 0.047862 0.103920 0.211562 0.427201
2025-09-28 0.002970 0.008128 0.019924 0.047224 0.106074 0.222372 0.461497
2025-10-05 0.002803 0.008017 0.020377 0.049893 0.115310 0.247733 0.525991
2025-10-12 0.002593 0.007753 0.020435 0.051689 0.122896 0.270524 0.587463
2025-10-19 0.002235 0.007020 0.019263 0.050495 0.123841 0.279913 0.622890
2025-10-26 0.001964 0.006468 0.018441 0.049999 0.126257 0.292534 0.665990
2025-11-02 0.001679 0.005808 0.017229 0.048367 0.125847 0.299061 0.696835
2025-11-09 0.001450 0.005265 0.016229 0.047114 0.126154 0.307125 0.731595
2025-11-16 0.001298 0.004926 0.015730 0.047081 0.129390 0.321958 0.782326
2025-11-23 0.001124 0.004472 0.014821 0.045814 0.129401 0.329428 0.817250
2025-11-30 0.001070 0.004421 0.015089 0.047832 0.138001 0.357597 0.901451